Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1.746865e-05 2.141953e-05 0.000026 0.000031 0.000037 0.000043 0.000050
2025-07-20 1.242601e-05 1.733065e-05 0.000023 0.000031 0.000039 0.000050 0.000062
2025-07-27 9.511604e-06 1.488337e-05 0.000022 0.000031 0.000043 0.000057 0.000075
2025-08-03 8.230917e-06 1.415643e-05 0.000022 0.000033 0.000048 0.000067 0.000090
2025-08-10 6.426691e-06 1.229975e-05 0.000021 0.000033 0.000050 0.000072 0.000101
2025-08-17 4.530805e-06 9.866790e-06 0.000018 0.000031 0.000049 0.000073 0.000106
2025-08-24 3.259139e-06 8.111364e-06 0.000016 0.000029 0.000049 0.000075 0.000111
2025-08-31 2.522403e-06 7.101082e-06 0.000015 0.000029 0.000050 0.000079 0.000120
2025-09-07 1.850719e-06 6.015654e-06 0.000014 0.000028 0.000050 0.000081 0.000126
2025-09-14 1.262469e-06 4.892853e-06 0.000012 0.000027 0.000049 0.000082 0.000131
2025-09-21 8.637572e-07 4.043245e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000049 0.000084 0.000135
2025-09-28 5.459721e-07 3.231047e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000048 0.000084 0.000139
2025-10-05 3.206716e-07 2.599737e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000049 0.000088 0.000148
2025-10-12 1.823561e-07 2.124802e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000050 0.000093 0.000160
2025-10-19 1.080633e-07 1.825599e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000052 0.000099 0.000173
2025-10-26 8.727282e-08 1.823551e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000058 0.000110 0.000195
2025-11-02 4.231443e-08 1.508485e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000059 0.000116 0.000207
2025-11-09 9.587080e-09 1.052811e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000057 0.000116 0.000212
2025-11-16 1.078684e-09 7.506576e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000057 0.000117 0.000218
2025-11-23 3.647455e-11 5.946521e-07 0.000005 0.000022 0.000058 0.000121 0.000229
2025-11-30 NaN 4.325303e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000058 0.000124 0.000238
2025-12-07 NaN 2.806201e-07 0.000004 0.000020 0.000057 0.000125 0.000243
2025-12-14 NaN 1.823412e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000056 0.000126 0.000250